93% win-rate underdog buyer

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Marin Cilic in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Joao Fonseca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 93% win rate bought the underdog at 23¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
Total
$1,406
Trades
1
Win Rate
94%
Wallet P&L
+$681,761
Analysis
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $444k across 175 bets.
- They bought Marin Cilic at 23¢, a price that implies a roughly 4.3x payoff if they are right.
- This wallet has traded 78 related events and markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Marin Cilic at 23¢
Detected April 24, 2026 at 9:08 PM