78% win-rate bettor
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A high-volume, historically profitable bettor with a 78% win rate bought No at 48¢ as this Elon tweet-count market was breaking out, making it a modest but followable signal despite the small size.
Total
$993
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$134,565
Analysis
- This bettor wins 78% of their trades across 718 resolved markets and is up $120k lifetime
- They bought No at 48¢ while the market was making a sharp 38-point move beyond its prior range
- The trade is small at about $993, but it came from a wallet with a repeat cross-market pattern in the same event
Copy Trade
Buy No at 48¢
Detected April 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM