96% win-rate serial bettor
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate bought No and the market moved sharply in their favor, making this a notable track-record-driven signal despite the small size.
Total
$1,038
Trades
1
Win Rate
96%
Wallet P&L
+$27,779
Analysis
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 489 bets and has traded over $4.1M across 149 events.
- Their buy pushed or caught a 39-point move toward No, and the price is now 92¢ versus their 87¢ entry.
- This is a fresh, directional bet from a proven cross-market trader, not routine profit-taking.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected April 25, 2026 at 12:09 PM