74% politics grinder
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record is buying No at 56¢ on a major politics market, making this a credible thesis trade despite only modest size.
Total
$1,952
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$156,276
Analysis
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades across 994 markets and is up $151k lifetime
- They trade across related event markets at scale, with 146 events and $1.5M tracked in cross-market positions
- Bought No at 56¢ in a liquid UK politics market, implying they see Starmer staying in office as better than a coin flip
Copy Trade
Buy No at 56¢
Detected April 26, 2026 at 1:12 PM