95% win-rate political bettor
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A serial cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate is making a fresh $2.8k bet on No, which is notable despite the otherwise liquid market.
Total
$2,760
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$113,540
Analysis
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades, with 1,432 wins and nearly $94k in profit.
- They trade across related events at scale — 604 markets across 89 events — which suggests a repeatable edge.
- They bought No at 62¢, a clear directional bet that Starmer stays in office through June 2026.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 62¢
Detected April 28, 2026 at 2:07 AM