Sharp bettor buying longshot
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Despite a low composite score, this is worth surfacing because a bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.58M profit opened a fresh position in a thin market by effectively buying Yes at 16¢.
Total
$1,104
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$1,577,491
Analysis
- This bettor wins 89% of their resolved trades and is up $1.58M lifetime
- They effectively bought Yes at 16¢ by selling No, a cheap entry if 5% yields are more likely than the market thinks
- Their $1.1k order was 72% of the market's 24-hour volume in a market with only $2.7k of liquidity
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 16¢
Detected April 28, 2026 at 10:01 AM