Sharp bettor in thin market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
A profitable sharp wallet with a 75% win rate made a market-moving buy into a very thin Eurovision market, suggesting real conviction at 29¢.
Total
$1,155
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$39,237
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up about $37.6k across 65 resolved bets.
- They bought Yes at 29¢ in a market with only about $100 of 24-hour volume, so this order was over 11x the day's activity.
- Entry at 29¢ stands out in a wide-spread market and suggests they see Malta's top-10 chances as meaningfully better than current pricing.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 29¢
Detected April 28, 2026 at 7:13 PM