Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,155.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor in thin market

A profitable sharp wallet with a 75% win rate made a market-moving buy into a very thin Eurovision market, suggesting real conviction at 29¢.

  • This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up about $37.6k across 65 resolved bets.
  • They bought Yes at 29¢ in a market with only about $100 of 24-hour volume, so this order was over 11x the day's activity.
  • Entry at 29¢ stands out in a wide-spread market and suggests they see Malta's top-10 chances as meaningfully better than current pricing.

$1,155 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x18ea...f348 Outcome 49735083, $12,747
  2. 0x3092...ae3b Outcome 49735083, $7,761
  3. 0x27f0...0cf1 Outcome 49735083, $6,055
  4. 0xbb64...f3a1 Outcome 49735083, $2,247
  5. 0xcdc9...00a6 Outcome 49735083, $2,147
  6. 0xb5f6...adc3 Outcome 49735083, $1,989 (43% win rate)
  7. 0xbd02...7973 Outcome 49735083, $1,768
  8. 0x4af7...2381 Outcome 49735083, $1,450 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xfc23...6043 Outcome 49735083, $1,051 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x923c...fa1d Outcome 49735083, $760

Related Theses

Eurovision winner among five countries

Covers 5 related markets

Favorites miss World Cup final

Covers 4 related markets

Australia and Cyprus miss top five

Covers 2 related markets

Bitcoin hits 110K without dips

Covers 3 related markets

Mexico England Portugal fall short

Covers 3 related markets

All three miss top ten

Covers 3 related markets

Malta surprises, rivals miss top ten

Covers 5 related markets

Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 10$1,155 tracked1 signalMusicEurovisionAwardsCulture

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Notable Trades

Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

45d ago

$1,155 on Yes at 29¢

Related Theses