Serial cross-market bettor
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly active serial cross-market trader with a profitable 332-market history bought Yes on a political vote market, though the bet size is modest.
Total
$1,592
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$231,321
Analysis
- This bettor has won 74% of 332 resolved markets and is up $226K lifetime.
- They have traded across 79 events and 126 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Entry at 80¢ implies confidence that the no-confidence vote is more likely than current odds suggest.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 80¢
Detected May 5, 2026 at 10:48 AM