Smart Money SignalScore: 1.0

Thin-market Yes whale

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count. If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market. If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

A single wallet made a large thin-market bet equivalent to buying Yes, taking over 11x recent 24h volume on a wide-spread legal market.

Total

$3,425

Trades

1

Win Rate

95%

Wallet P&L

+$1,697

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 11¢

TechOpenAIAIBig TechCourtsMusk v Altman
View all alerts for Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Detected May 5, 2026 at 10:55 PM