Profitable new box-office whale

This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
A 10-day-old wallet with early profit and repeat large-bet flags is taking a sizable, somewhat hedged position across the Michael box-office event, with the clearest copyable leg equivalent to buying Yes around 44¢.
Total
$4,479
Trades
2
Win Rate
40%
Wallet P&L
+$6,772
Analysis
- This 10-day-old wallet has already placed 8 positions and is up $1,637 despite being new.
- Repeat large-bet flags total $5,599, suggesting this is not a one-off wager.
- The clearest leg is selling No at 56¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 44¢ while market odds are near 38%.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 44¢
Detected May 10, 2026 at 6:36 AM