Part of: "Michael" 3rd Weekend Box Office
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
This Polymarket market tracks whether “Michael” will gross more than $38 million domestically based on the final box office figures used for resolution. According to the market rules, it resolves after the final 3-day domestic weekend numbers for May 8–May 10 are available on The Numbers, with resolution expected on May 11, 2026. PolySpotter is currently tracking $7,410 in smart money activity and one recent Yes momentum signal for this market.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,410.
Categories: Movies, box office, Culture, Rewards 300 4.5 50
Notable Trades
3-wallet Yes momentum
Three profitable wallets bought $7.4K of Yes and pushed a thin box-office market up 27 points, showing coordinated momentum worth tracking.
- Three bettors put $7.4K on Yes, more than the market’s displayed liquidity.
- The Yes price jumped from around 40¢ to 64¢ in one day, showing strong one-way momentum.
- All three wallets are lifetime profitable, including one up $21.8K with a 70% record.
$7,410 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xb028...8686 — Yes, $16,972 (49% win rate)
- 0xecaa...77a9 — No, $15,591 (68% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $13,827
- 0xbe78...c533 — Yes, $10,014 (42% win rate)
- 0x3c11...1535 — No, $5,117
- 0xb94c...b5b5 — Yes, $5,000 (70% win rate)
- 0x5095...93ee — Yes, $4,459 (49% win rate)
- 0x9199...dd2d — Yes, $2,500 (51% win rate)
- 0xb037...71f0 — No, $2,001
- 0xf7bb...a9f7 — Yes, $1,826 (69% win rate)
