Sharp wallets on underdog

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Rafael Jodar in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three wallets bought the Arnaldi side amid a major pre-event volume spike, including one sharp serial cross-market trader and one profitable 78% winner, though the market has since moved heavily against their entry.
Total
$11,325
Trades
4
Analysis
- A bettor who wins 78% of resolved trades put $8,000 on this side at 62–64¢.
- Another wallet has an 87% hit rate and a long cross-market history across 92 events.
- The market saw a 26x volume spike, with coordinated flow on both sides before the match.
Copy Trade
Buy Matteo Arnaldi at 64¢
Detected May 10, 2026 at 8:52 PM