Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $132,882.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying collapse
Four wallets, including two highly profitable 93% winners, clustered into Arnaldi despite the market moving sharply against them.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 93% of their resolved bets and are up about $130K combined.
- Four wallets put $7.6K on the same side, including one sell of Jodar equivalent to buying Arnaldi at 35¢.
- They bought into a sharp price drop, with Arnaldi falling 24 points on the day and entries ranging from 35¢ to 62¢.
$7,605 on Matteo Arnaldi
Profitable serial sports trader
A massive-volume serial cross-market tennis trader with long-term profitability bought Rafael Jodar before a 24-point price move and a 12.4x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has traded across 2,850 markets and is up about $466K lifetime.
- Rafael Jodar moved up 24 points, with this buy at 69¢ now trading around 72¢.
- Market volume spiked 12.4x before the event, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.
$2,125 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 53%
Nine-wallet Jodar cluster
Large one-sided Rafael Jodar flow from 9 wallets is notable, but the signal is mixed because the market has since moved sharply against Jodar and some opposing Arnaldi flow is also present.
- 9 wallets put $37.9K toward Rafael Jodar in a fast-moving tennis market.
- One sharp wallet in the alert wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $81K lifetime.
- Caution: Jodar has already fallen from many entries near 66–69¢ to 36¢, so this is a high-volatility copy signal.
$37,880 on Rafael Jodar
87% winner joins Arnaldi flow
High-scoring alert from an 87% winning serial cross-market trader, aligned with six-wallet one-sided Arnaldi flow and a major pre-event volume/price move.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 150 bets and has traded 91 related events.
- Six wallets are all backing Matteo Arnaldi, totaling $10.6K in the same direction.
- The market saw a 45x volume spike and Rafael Jodar’s price fell 29 points, matching this Arnaldi-side move.
$1,100 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 89%
6-wallet Arnaldi push
Strong one-sided Arnaldi flow from six wallets plus a serial cross-market tennis trader makes this worth surfacing despite the wallet’s weak lifetime P&L.
- Six wallets bought Matteo Arnaldi in the same window, totaling $10.8K on one side.
- This wallet is a highly active cross-market trader with 1,155 resolved bets and a 61% win rate.
- The trade effectively buys Arnaldi at 34¢ while the market has already moved about 17 points against Jodar.
$1,980 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial sports trader
Coordinated one-sided flow into Arnaldi is backed by a highly active profitable cross-market trader and a major pre-event volume spike.
- A highly active bettor is up $472K lifetime across more than 38,000 resolved markets.
- Six wallets are all buying Matteo Arnaldi, totaling $10.8K in the same direction.
- Market volume is running 22x above normal, with Arnaldi already up 7 points today.
$1,780 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp wallets on underdog
Three wallets bought the Arnaldi side amid a major pre-event volume spike, including one sharp serial cross-market trader and one profitable 78% winner, though the market has since moved heavily against their entry.
- A bettor who wins 78% of resolved trades put $8,000 on this side at 62–64¢.
- Another wallet has an 87% hit rate and a long cross-market history across 92 events.
- The market saw a 26x volume spike, with coordinated flow on both sides before the match.
$11,325 on Matteo Arnaldi
Profitable serial sports trader
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with nearly $2M lifetime profit bought Rafael Jodar before a 5-point move, alongside a notable pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long record across 1,592 markets and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They bought Rafael Jodar at 87¢, and the market has already moved to 92¢.
- Volume spiked 20.9x before the match, suggesting broader money is moving the same way.
$1,303 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with 67% wins and +$254k P&L placed a $7.8k buy on Rafael Jodar amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 67% of 141 resolved bets and is up $254k lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $1.48M deployed across 207 events.
- Market activity spiked 75x above normal before the match, reinforcing the move toward Jodar.
$7,800 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial sports trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 67% resolved win rate bought $6.5k of Rafael Jodar during a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has won 67% of 141 resolved bets and is up about $254k lifetime.
- They have traded across 206 events with nearly $1.5M total volume, suggesting a repeat sports-betting strategy.
- The buy came during a 31.9x pre-event volume spike, but the market has moved from their 82¢ entry down to 74¢.
$6,452 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 46035519, $62,934 (63% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 46035519, $19,476 (81% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 46035519, $10,060 (62% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Outcome 46035519, $7,932 (77% win rate)
- 0xeaf3...e802 — Outcome 46035519, $5,000 (81% win rate)
- 0x4e9c...1fca — Outcome 46035519, $5,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xc965...c8ec — Outcome 46035519, $4,815 (78% win rate)
- 0xe807...307c — Outcome 46035519, $4,197 (94% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Outcome 46035519, $3,671 (72% win rate)
- 0x49c8...3c52 — Outcome 46035519, $3,600 (72% win rate)
Related Theses
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Covers 1 related market
