93% serial cross-market winner
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Surface because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying No, even though the market itself is long-dated and liquid.
Total
$2,113
Trades
1
Win Rate
93%
Wallet P&L
+$271,023
Analysis
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $271K lifetime.
- They have traded across 83 events and 132 markets, with $5.5M in cross-market volume.
- Buying No at 89¢ suggests they see little chance of an official US confirmation by the deadline.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 89¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 1:52 AM