Profitable new funded cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have experienced an industry downturn once at least three of the following events have occurred within 90 days of this market's specified timeframe: - NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high. - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) closing stock price is down 40% from its all-time high. - OpenAI, Inc. or Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy. - OpenAI, Inc. is acquired. - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days, as shown on the SiliconData Silicon Index at: https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index. - Major AI Hardware Supplier Collapse: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), ASML Holding N.V. (ASML), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET), or Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high. This market may resolve immediately once three conditions have been met within 90 days of the specified timeframe. This market will not resolve to "Yes" until three conditions have been met, regardless of reporting of an industry downturn or similar claims. The primary resolution source will be official information from the respective companies and listing exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
New profitable wallet with repeated large flagged bets is buying Yes on a quiet market, with a 4-wallet shared-funder cluster adding corroboration despite the price now being below entry.
Total
$3,441
Trades
2
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$4,718
Analysis
- This new wallet is already up $4.7K and has made 6 flagged large bets in its first 12 days.
- Four wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind this Yes position.
- The buys were large for a quiet market, totaling over 4x the market’s 24-hour volume.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 30¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 7:41 AM