85% winner buying Yes
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Sharp, highly profitable political bettor bought $8.5k of Yes, adding meaningful size in a quiet market while also trading related California governor markets.
Total
$8,521
Trades
1
Win Rate
80%
Wallet P&L
+$3,974,598
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $1.29M lifetime.
- They bought $8.5k of Yes, over 3.6x the market’s entire 24h volume.
- This is part of a broader election thesis across 3 related markets, from a wallet that has traded 112 events.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 50¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 4:24 PM