Profitable serial trader fading move

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A profitable serial cross-market esports trader faded the MOUZ move during a large pre-event volume spike and 18-point price jump.
Total
$3,824
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
-$89,431
Analysis
- This bettor has a long track record: 222 resolved bets, 66% wins, and $61K profit.
- They are fading MOUZ after an 18-point price jump, effectively backing Aurora Gaming at 26¢.
- Market volume spiked 39x before the match, suggesting this move is part of a broader informed flow.
Copy Trade
Buy Aurora Gaming at 26¢
Detected May 12, 2026 at 7:23 AM