What is the MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming Map 2 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict which team will win Map 2 of the Counter-Strike 2 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage.

How does the MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming Map 2 market resolve?

The market resolves to “MOUZ” if MOUZ win Map 2, and to “Aurora Gaming” if Aurora Gaming win Map 2. If the match starts and Map 2 is completed with a winner, resolution is based on that Map 2 result.

When does this CS2 Polymarket market resolve?

The listed resolution date is May 12, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. Final settlement depends on the official Map 2 result and Polymarket’s market rules.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $12,949 in smart money and 2 smart money signals on this market. Recent alerts reference underdog backing, coordinated Aurora buy flow, and activity from profitable esports or event traders.

Where can I find MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming prediction market odds?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to see Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and trading activity for the MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming Map 2 winner market.

Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 2 winner between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 4 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to MOUZ or Aurora Gaming based on who wins Map 2, with resolution scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $12,949 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including Aurora buy flow and sharp esports trader activity.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,212.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable wallets backing underdog

Three wallets are taking the Aurora side against the market, including a profitable serial cross-market trader with a 66% record across many events.

Three wallets put $9.1k on Aurora, mostly by selling MOUZ and effectively buying the underdog.
One bettor has won 66% of 222 resolved trades and is up $61k lifetime.
This came with a 27x volume spike and a fast Aurora price move, suggesting concentrated pre-match conviction.

$9,125 on Aurora Gaming

Profitable serial trader fading move

A profitable serial cross-market esports trader faded the MOUZ move during a large pre-event volume spike and 18-point price jump.

This bettor has a long track record: 222 resolved bets, 66% wins, and $61K profit.
They are fading MOUZ after an 18-point price jump, effectively backing Aurora Gaming at 26¢.
Market volume spiked 39x before the match, suggesting this move is part of a broader informed flow.

$3,824 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 66%

Coordinated Aurora buy flow

Three wallets put $8.1k on Aurora in the same map, including a profitable 74% winner and a very active serial cross-market trader, with the Aurora buy also equivalent to the MOUZ sell.

Three wallets are all backing Aurora Gaming, totaling $8.1k on the same map.
One bettor has won 74% of resolved bets and is up $8.6k lifetime.
A high-volume cross-market trader is involved, though that wallet has lost money overall.

$8,073 on Aurora Gaming

Profitable serial esports trader

Serial cross-market sports/esports trader with positive lifetime P&L bought MOUZ into a sharp 34pp price drop, suggesting a contrarian or buy-the-dip position on an active liquid market.

This bettor has traded 59 markets across 42 events and is up $7.4K lifetime.
They bought MOUZ at 53¢ after the price dropped 34 percentage points, taking the other side of a major move.
The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate directional bet rather than noise.

$1,121 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 57%

Elite esports sharp

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate bought MOUZ despite the price already moving up, making the wallet track record the key signal.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up about $582K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 150 events with over $5.1M invested.
Bought MOUZ at 83¢ during a fast 10-point move, suggesting confidence despite the market now sitting near 80¢.

$1,014 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 84%

Profitable serial event bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought MOUZ at 70¢ ahead of a rapid 10-point move to 80¢.

This bettor has won 63% of 276 resolved trades and is up about $6.5K lifetime.
They have traded across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable event-level strategy rather than a one-off bet.
They bought MOUZ at 70¢ before the market quickly moved to 80¢.

$1,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought MOUZ as the price broke sharply upward, suggesting informed momentum on Map 2.

This bettor has 404 resolved trades, wins 70% of them, and is up $37K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events, suggesting they specialize in event-level positioning.
The MOUZ price jumped from its prior 48–58¢ range to 84¢, with a rapid 10-point move in under 3 minutes.

$4,681 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with $585K lifetime P&L bought MOUZ at 48¢ before the market moved to 66¢.

This bettor is up $585K lifetime across 583 resolved markets.
They regularly trade across related events, with 189 events and $1.16M tracked in this pattern.
Bought MOUZ at 48¢ before the market moved to 66¢.

$1,198 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial esports trader

Serial high-volume cross-market trader with a large positive lifetime P&L is buying Aurora across the same event, despite only a modest 55% hit rate.

This bettor is up $2.26M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 1,410 events and $9.7M in similar event-linked positioning.
They bought Aurora Gaming at 34¢, taking the underdog side in a liquid market.

$2,973 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable serial event bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record and $574k profit bought MOUZ across this CS event, making the $5.2k Map 2 position worth surfacing despite modest signal diversity.

This bettor has won 64% of 582 resolved bets and is up $574k lifetime.
They have traded 291 markets across 188 events, suggesting a repeatable event-level strategy.
They put $17.3k across 3 markets in this match, including $5.2k on MOUZ at 58¢.

$5,204 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 64%