Serial macro bettor

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 13 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 13 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Serial cross-market trader with 161 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L is buying SPX Up at 83% in a relatively small daily market.
Total
$1,693
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$15,955
Analysis
- This bettor has a long track record: 161 resolved bets with 73% wins and about $16k profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 48 events with $155k traded in this pattern.
- The $1.7k buy is meaningful versus this market’s $5.5k liquidity, and entry at 83¢ shows strong confidence in an Up open.
Copy Trade
Buy Up at 83¢
Detected May 13, 2026 at 6:41 AM