3-wallet fade of favorite
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Three high-volume esports wallets with modest but positive long-term P&L are aligned against the favorite on Map 2, with a $5.1k coordinated sell despite TheMongolz price rising sharply.
Total
$5,106
Trades
4
Analysis
- Three active esports bettors are all taking the same side, combining for $5.1k against the 84¢ favorite.
- These wallets have over 3,000 resolved bets combined and are modestly profitable lifetime.
- They entered around 55–67¢ while the market has moved to 84¢, so this is now a contrarian fade at a much worse public price.
Copy Trade
Buy Aurora Gaming at 33¢
Detected May 13, 2026 at 11:55 AM