Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
This prediction market covers who will win Map 2 between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage Counter-Strike match. PolySpotter is tracking $2,700 in smart money and 1 signal on this market, with recent alerts noting experienced esports traders backing the favorite. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 13, 2026, based on the official Map 2 winner if that map is completed.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,574.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% winner swept Aurora
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate drove most of the Aurora buying, alongside one-sided flow and immediate price movement to 100%.
- The lead bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.31M lifetime.
- They bought about $12.9K of Aurora between 63¢ and 76¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- Four wallets pushed the same Aurora view, with volume spiking 25x around the move.
$16,949 on Aurora Gaming
Profitable serial esports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market esports trader is effectively buying TheMongolz alongside one-sided flow from four wallets and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 66% wins across 1,132 resolved bets and $333K in profit.
- They are effectively buying TheMongolz at 28¢ while four wallets are on the same side for about $5.1K.
- Market volume is spiking 13x before the event, suggesting fresh attention on this side.
$1,179 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 66%
3-wallet fade of favorite
Three high-volume esports wallets with modest but positive long-term P&L are aligned against the favorite on Map 2, with a $5.1k coordinated sell despite TheMongolz price rising sharply.
- Three active esports bettors are all taking the same side, combining for $5.1k against the 84¢ favorite.
- These wallets have over 3,000 resolved bets combined and are modestly profitable lifetime.
- They entered around 55–67¢ while the market has moved to 84¢, so this is now a contrarian fade at a much worse public price.
$5,106 on Aurora Gaming
Profitable serial esports trader
Serial esports cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought TheMongolz despite a rapid price drop, creating a potentially contrarian copy-trade signal.
- This bettor has a long track record: 266 resolved bets, 58% wins, and about $70.9k profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $304.6k deployed across 91 markets in 61 events.
- They bought TheMongolz at 60¢ while the price was falling, suggesting a contrarian view on the move.
$2,700 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 58%
Experienced trio backs favorite
Three experienced cross-market esports bettors put $7.6k on TheMongolz amid a major pre-event volume spike and one-sided flow.
- Three wallets put $7.6k on the same side, buying TheMongolz around 59–60¢.
- Two of the bettors have strong volume histories and are up about $70k each lifetime.
- This market saw a 37.7x volume spike, suggesting fresh pre-match positioning.
$7,640 on TheMongolz
Top Holders
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Aurora Gaming, $24,329 (92% win rate)
- 0xa69d...509b — TheMongolz, $17,000 (59% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Aurora Gaming, $15,368 (52% win rate)
- 0x31b0...8bf3 — TheMongolz, $10,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — TheMongolz, $9,935 (55% win rate)
- 0xa635...cf50 — TheMongolz, $9,442
- 0x67bb...b6ef — TheMongolz, $9,167 (62% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Aurora Gaming, $8,737 (47% win rate)
- 0x72aa...90e0 — TheMongolz, $8,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — Aurora Gaming, $7,786 (66% win rate)
