85% winner political whale
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Sharp high-volume political bettor with an 85% historical win rate and $1.29M profit is adding a cross-market Yes position on Becerra.
Total
$1,598
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$3,842,243
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.29M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.7M deployed across 115 events.
- They bought Yes at 50¢, implying they see value even after a recent weekly move higher.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 50¢
Detected May 13, 2026 at 5:56 PM