Momentum buyer after breakout
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A meaningful price-impact buy into a politically plausible UK PM market with strong 1d/1w momentum, though the wallet's historical edge is only modest.
Total
$2,790
Trades
1
Win Rate
50%
Wallet P&L
+$39,486
Analysis
- The trade helped push Yes far above its prior range, with the market up 13 points today and 18 points this week.
- This is a $2.8K buy at 40¢ in an active political market, suggesting the bettor is chasing a real thesis rather than noise.
- The wallet has traded heavily and is up about $25.6K lifetime, though its win rate is only 50%.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 40¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 4:34 PM