High-win bettor buys NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have experienced an industry downturn once at least three of the following events have occurred within 90 days of this market's specified timeframe: - NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high. - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) closing stock price is down 40% from its all-time high. - OpenAI, Inc. or Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy. - OpenAI, Inc. is acquired. - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days, as shown on the SiliconData Silicon Index at: https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index. - Major AI Hardware Supplier Collapse: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), ASML Holding N.V. (ASML), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET), or Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high. This market may resolve immediately once three conditions have been met within 90 days of the specified timeframe. This market will not resolve to "Yes" until three conditions have been met, regardless of reporting of an industry downturn or similar claims. The primary resolution source will be official information from the respective companies and listing exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Surface despite the weak alert score because this is a high-win-rate wallet re-entering a quiet long-dated market with a $1.8k No buy that exceeded recent daily volume.
Total
$1,814
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$9,030
Analysis
- This bettor has won 93% of 189 resolved markets and is up about $5k lifetime.
- They bought $1.8k of No, more than 2x the market’s recent 24h volume.
- They previously held No around 80¢ and re-entered at 78¢, suggesting continued confidence.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 78¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 10:57 PM