Quiet-market sports whale

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 15 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Large same-wallet bets overwhelmed a very quiet MLB spread market, but the wallet's long-term record is mixed rather than clearly sharp.
Total
$4,860
Trades
2
Win Rate
38%
Wallet P&L
+$13,545
Analysis
- This bettor put about 2.7x the market’s 24h volume into a thin MLB spread market.
- The wallet has a long history and is up $42.7k lifetime, though it wins only 38% of resolved bets.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they see the Reds -2.5 as meaningfully underpriced despite limited market activity.
Copy Trade
Buy Cincinnati Reds at 46¢
Detected May 16, 2026 at 2:03 AM