Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,860.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Quiet-market sports whale

Large same-wallet bets overwhelmed a very quiet MLB spread market, but the wallet's long-term record is mixed rather than clearly sharp.

  • This bettor put about 2.7x the market’s 24h volume into a thin MLB spread market.
  • The wallet has a long history and is up $42.7k lifetime, though it wins only 38% of resolved bets.
  • Entry at 46¢ implies they see the Reds -2.5 as meaningfully underpriced despite limited market activity.

$4,860 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 38%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe401...7b88 Outcome 66602896, $600 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x2e1f...8fde Outcome 66602896, $149
  3. 0xc978...706b Outcome 66602896, $138
  4. 0x0d2d...7ff5 Outcome 66602896, $123
  5. 0xb0f4...6fa9 Outcome 82672024, $100
  6. 0x976a...e8ec Outcome 82672024, $58
  7. 0xeab7...b389 Outcome 66602896, $50
  8. 0x70fc...ab12 Outcome 66602896, $30
  9. 0x1b44...d8de Outcome 66602896, $24
  10. 0xc4fe...601f Outcome 66602896, $18

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Pistons Cavaliers stay close

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)

ResolvedCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$4,860 tracked1 signalSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 15 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CIN
7
24-21
Final
CLE
6
24-22
CIN +118CLE -142O/U 7.5
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
27,903

Notable Trades

Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)

3h ago

$4,860 on Cincinnati Reds at 46¢

Related Theses