$3M-profit serial bettor

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Daniel Barez and Luis Gurule at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Daniel Barez and Luis Gurule at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is taking Under in a thin UFC rounds market at 37¢.
Total
$1,022
Trades
1
Win Rate
60%
Wallet P&L
+$3,292,365
Analysis
- This bettor is up $3.0M across 446 resolved bets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $9.5M tracked across 310 events and a 59% win rate.
- The $1.0K buy was large for this quiet market and entered Under at 37¢, now around 39¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 37¢
Detected May 16, 2026 at 9:43 PM