88% winner buying YES
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has an exceptional 88% resolved win rate and $4.0M lifetime profit, and the trade converts to a Yes position on a macro market with strong recent momentum.
Total
$1,273
Trades
1
Win Rate
87%
Wallet P&L
+$4,768,162
Analysis
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $4.0M lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 31¢ on a market that has moved up 22 points this week.
- The market is fairly quiet with a wide spread, so even a $1.3K trade can reflect focused conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 31¢
Detected May 19, 2026 at 2:38 PM