Profitable serial macro bettor
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved-bet history is effectively buying Yes at 13¢ on a geopolitically sensitive market.
Total
$1,740
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$222,900
Analysis
- This bettor has won 68% of 909 resolved bets and is up about $145k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 29 events and $230k in tracked thematic bets.
- Selling No at 87¢ is effectively a Yes entry at 13¢, a high-upside contrarian position.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 13¢
Detected May 19, 2026 at 3:02 PM