95% winner backs underdog

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 19 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sharp esports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate bought Natus Vincere amid one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
Total
$2,950
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$208,479
Analysis
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $157,874 lifetime.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 24¢, below the current 28¢ price, implying a strong underdog read.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $11,701 during a 61x pre-event volume spike.
Copy Trade
Buy Natus Vincere at 24¢
Detected May 19, 2026 at 8:48 PM