Part of: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 19 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
25 smart money signals detected, totaling $97,120.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor joins cluster
High composite alert driven by a profitable serial cross-market trader joining coordinated Natus Vincere buying, though the price has moved sharply against the entry since execution.
- This bettor has traded 342 related markets across 238 events and is up about $102K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought Natus Vincere the same way, totaling about $5.4K in coordinated underdog flow.
- The entry at 39¢ was a contrarian bet, but the market has since fallen to about 22¢.
$1,139 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 60%
79% winner on Aurora
Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% resolved win rate bought Aurora, though the market has since moved sharply against their entry.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved positions and is up $65,853 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events with the same strong hit rate.
- Aurora is now around 48¢ after their 69¢ entry, offering a much cheaper price than they paid.
$1,700 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp esports cluster
Strong Aurora-side cluster led by several highly profitable bettors with 79–92% win rates, coordinated cross-market activity, and a sharp move from roughly mid-market to 98%.
- Several proven bettors backed Aurora, including wallets winning 91% and 92% of resolved trades with over $265K combined profit.
- Six wallets put nearly $20K on the same side, with Aurora moving from an average entry near 63¢ to 98¢.
- This market saw a 33x volume spike and multiple serial cross-market traders converging on the same outcome.
$19,752 on Aurora
92% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable 92% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Natus Vincere alongside one-sided flow, despite the market moving sharply against that outcome.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $192K lifetime.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 43¢, taking the underdog side before the market fell to 28¢.
- Four wallets have bought the same side for $11.7K during a major volume spike.
$1,050 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 91%
95% winner backs underdog
Sharp esports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate bought Natus Vincere amid one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $157,874 lifetime.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 24¢, below the current 28¢ price, implying a strong underdog read.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $11,701 during a 61x pre-event volume spike.
$2,950 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial bettor
High-score alert combining a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor, 4-wallet same-side flow, and a 61x volume spike, though the entry is now well underwater.
- This bettor has won 71% of 997 resolved bets and is up about $932k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 340 events with over $2.5M in tracked volume.
- Four wallets bought Natus Vincere the same way for $11.7k during a 61x volume spike.
$1,391 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 73%
98% winner backs Aurora
Elite 98% winner with $4.05M profit bought Aurora, aligned with a 9-wallet one-sided push and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $4.05M lifetime.
- They bought Aurora at 55¢, and the market has already moved to 62¢.
- Nine wallets have backed the same side for $42.6K amid a 53.6x volume spike.
$3,776 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable esports cluster
Three experienced, profitable esports traders clustered into Natus Vincere, including a 75% winner up $171k lifetime and multiple serial cross-market bettors.
- Three profitable high-volume bettors bought Natus Vincere within two minutes.
- The strongest wallet wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $171k lifetime.
- This is coordinated underdog buying around 40¢, suggesting they see value versus the current 38% market price.
$5,437 on Natus Vincere
Sharp bettor joins Aurora cluster
Sharp profitable esports bettor bought Aurora alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $104,807 lifetime.
- Nine wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $42,618 of one-sided flow.
- Aurora has already moved from their 55¢ entry to 62¢, with a 54x pre-event volume spike behind the move.
$1,100 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable esports flow on Aurora
Sharp, profitable serial cross-market trader bought Aurora alongside strong one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike, with price already moving from 55% to 62%.
- This bettor has a long track record: 61% wins across 2,025 resolved bets and +$417K lifetime profit.
- Nine wallets bought the same side, totaling $42.6K on Aurora.
- The market saw a 53.6x pre-event volume spike, and Aurora has already moved from this entry at 55¢ to 62¢.
$3,438 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Natus Vincere, $64,685 (97% win rate)
- 0x3936...366d — Natus Vincere, $36,046 (100% win rate)
- 0x03f8...d85a — Natus Vincere, $30,882 (96% win rate)
- 0x8479...40df — Natus Vincere, $26,308 (97% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Natus Vincere, $25,174 (62% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Natus Vincere, $11,775 (73% win rate)
- 0xefa1...5aa4 — Natus Vincere, $10,000
- 0x5cef...112e — Natus Vincere, $6,000
- 0x85a4...9aab — Natus Vincere, $5,660 (98% win rate)
- 0xf5d0...d9e8 — Natus Vincere, $3,673 (45% win rate)
