Profitable serial macro bettor

On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a fresh $4.2k No position that represents 59% of the market’s 24h volume.
Total
$4,180
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$1,093,569
Analysis
- This bettor is up $1.57M lifetime across 917 resolved markets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.0M deployed across 85 related markets.
- The $4.2k No buy was 59% of the past day’s volume, showing conviction in a relatively quiet market.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 70¢
Detected May 23, 2026 at 10:46 PM