New whale on thin market

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between megoshort and ASTRAL in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B, initially scheduled for May 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "megoshort" if megoshort win the match against ASTRAL. This market will resolve to "ASTRAL" if ASTRAL win the match against megoshort. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
An 8-day-old wallet made a $4.6k megoshort bet worth 340% of the market's 24h volume, making this a notable conviction trade in a thin esports market despite limited track record.
Total
$4,593
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$254
Analysis
- An 8-day-old wallet put $4.6k on megoshort, more than 3x this market’s 24h volume.
- The wallet already has 8 positions and a small early profit, suggesting active positioning rather than a one-off punt.
- This is a thin esports market where one large informed bet can matter, though the price has moved against the entry from 39¢ to 32¢.
Copy Trade
Buy megoshort at 39¢
Detected May 24, 2026 at 10:34 AM