96% last-minute bettor
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A highly accurate near-resolution bettor bought Yes 17.5 minutes before close alongside a major upward price breakout, suggesting possible live-count edge despite modest lifetime profit.
Total
$2,207
Trades
1
Win Rate
96%
Wallet P&L
+$393
Analysis
- This bettor has won 96% of 421 resolved trades, showing a strong pattern of picking near-certain outcomes.
- They bought Yes 17.5 minutes before resolution, when live tweet-count information is most valuable.
- Yes has surged 57 points in the past day and broke above its prior range, suggesting the market is rapidly repricing.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 77¢
Detected May 26, 2026 at 4:02 PM