Last-minute timer hit
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A positive-P&L wallet made a last-minute Yes buy that immediately moved to 100%, but the copy opportunity is likely gone at current odds.
Total
$3,368
Trades
2
Win Rate
48%
Wallet P&L
+$6,925
Analysis
- This bettor bought Yes at 78¢ just 2 minutes before resolution and it is now trading at 100¢.
- The wallet is up $6,925 lifetime and has made several near-deadline bets, suggesting a real-time information edge.
- This looks more like a finished timing hit than a fresh entry, since the market is already at 100¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 78¢
Detected May 26, 2026 at 4:10 PM