Thin-market size bet

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
A single bettor took an outsized Yes position in an extremely thin Micron revenue market, with price already moving in their direction despite no strong win-rate edge.
Total
$1,375
Trades
1
Win Rate
39%
Wallet P&L
+$62,304
Analysis
- This $1.4K Yes buy was over 12x the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The market is very thin, with about $2.5K liquidity and a 7¢ spread.
- Price has already moved from a 79¢ entry to 86¢, matching the bettor’s direction.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 79¢
Detected May 27, 2026 at 1:49 AM