90% sharp bought thin YES
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sharp profitable wallet with a 90% record bought a large Yes position on a very thin Arc FDV market before the price jumped from 75% to 90%.
Total
$1,877
Trades
1
Win Rate
90%
Wallet P&L
+$138,962
Analysis
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up about $139k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 75¢ on a thin market, and the price has already moved to 90¢.
- The trade was far larger than recent activity, suggesting strong conviction on Arc clearing $800M FDV.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 75¢
Detected May 27, 2026 at 9:24 PM