Profitable wallet caught move
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A low-win-rate but profitable high-volume wallet flipped into Yes before a major late price move from 52¢ to 92¢ on a near-resolution Elon tweet-count market.
Total
$1,115
Trades
1
Win Rate
17%
Wallet P&L
+$213,644
Analysis
- This bettor bought Yes at 52¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
- The wallet is up $214K lifetime despite a low hit rate, suggesting it may take selective high-value shots.
- The market is close to resolution and has seen heavy 24h volume, so the late price surge is worth watching.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 52¢
Detected May 29, 2026 at 1:50 PM