Smart Money Alert: Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A 22-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed very large bets across this event and just made a fresh nearly $10k directional bet here, suggesting sustained conviction rather than routine trading.
Total
$9,922
Trades
1
Win Rate
67%
Wallet P&L
+$29,232
Analysis
- A 22-day-old wallet has already triggered 10 large-bet alerts with about $278k flagged total
- This trade is a fresh bullish bet on Yes worth about $9.9k, placed across a political event market with solid volume
- The wallet is betting the same event across 2 related markets, pointing to a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 31¢
Detected March 30, 2026 at 3:28 PM