99% winner in thin market

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Surfaced because a highly profitable 99% historical winner made a $2.7k bet that dwarfs this very thin market's normal volume.
Total
$2,700
Trades
1
Win Rate
99%
Wallet P&L
+$15,956
Analysis
- This bettor has won 99% of 1,771 resolved bets and is up $15,956 lifetime.
- The $2,700 buy is over 15x the market’s 24h volume, a large commitment in a thin order book.
- Entry at 76¢ suggests they are comfortable paying above the current 70¢ market price.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 76¢
Detected June 2, 2026 at 11:03 AM