Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This prediction market asks whether Portugal will reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves Yes if Portugal advances to that stage, and No if they are eliminated, the tournament is cancelled, or the Round of 16 is not declared by the stated deadline. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,594 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,588.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, world cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
99% winner buying quiet market
Surfaced due to sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable 99% winner made a meaningful Yes buy in a quiet, wide-spread market despite the weak standalone signal.
- This bettor has won 99% of 1,771 resolved trades and is up about $16k lifetime.
- They bought $1.6k of Yes in a quiet market with only $5.9k traded in the last day.
- Entry at 76¢ suggests they see Portugal advancing as underpriced despite the wide spread.
$1,594 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
99% winner in thin market
A highly profitable 99% winner put $4.3k on Yes in a very quiet, illiquid market, making this a copy-worthy sharp-wallet bet despite the long time to resolution.
- This bettor has won 99% of resolved trades and is up $15,956 lifetime.
- They bought $4.3k of Yes in a market that had only $178 of prior 24h volume.
- Entry at 76¢ is already slightly in profit, with current odds around 79¢.
$4,294 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
99% winner in thin market
Surfaced because a highly profitable 99% historical winner made a $2.7k bet that dwarfs this very thin market's normal volume.
- This bettor has won 99% of 1,771 resolved bets and is up $15,956 lifetime.
- The $2,700 buy is over 15x the market’s 24h volume, a large commitment in a thin order book.
- Entry at 76¢ suggests they are comfortable paying above the current 70¢ market price.
$2,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xb046...857c — No, $6,035 (48% win rate)
- 0x0c3d...f757 — Yes, $5,651 (99% win rate)
- 0x5144...37c9 — Yes, $211
- 0x5bba...c7d3 — Yes, $167
- 0x1eec...5ca3 — Yes, $130
- 0x373a...f4c1 — No, $102
- 0x5838...6a3a — No, $70
- 0x6216...1bd4 — Yes, $50
- 0xd52b...783c — No, $30
- 0x4ffe...9f71 — No, $13
