Profitable thin-market bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Profitable high-sample wallet made a large No bet that dwarfs daily volume in a very quiet market.
Total
$1,630
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$53,466
Analysis
- This bettor has 910 resolved trades and is up about $53K lifetime.
- The $1.6K No buy was over 23x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 81¢ implies a conservative but focused bet that the case count stays below 2,200.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 81¢
Detected June 2, 2026 at 7:58 PM