Smart Money SignalScore: 3.2

Profitable quiet-market buyer

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Experienced profitable wallet made a large No buy that dwarfs daily volume on a quiet climate market, with related positioning across the same event.

Total

$1,735

Trades

1

Win Rate

69%

Wallet P&L

+$62,715

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 90¢

WeatherGlobal TempScience
View all alerts for Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?

Detected June 3, 2026 at 8:22 PM

Profitable quiet-market buyer | PolySpotter