92% winner buying quiet No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tread's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Tread will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tread (https://x.com/tread_fi) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sharp-wallet override: a 92% winning bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought No in a quiet crypto launch market despite only a weak low-activity signal.
Total
$1,197
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$65,260
Analysis
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $65K lifetime.
- They bought No at 88¢ in a market with $0 volume over the last 24 hours.
- The market is thin, so a $1.2K bet is a meaningful conviction signal.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected June 5, 2026 at 4:16 AM