Serial cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Rocha Moya is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rubén Rocha Moya, the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa, the United States government, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Experienced cross-market bettor with positive P&L made a No bet larger than recent market activity on a quiet political extradition market.
Total
$1,620
Trades
1
Win Rate
51%
Wallet P&L
-$21,568
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 42 markets across 31 events and is modestly profitable overall.
- The $1.6K No buy was about 2.7x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- The trade follows momentum: Yes is down about 19% this week, while No was bought near 90¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected June 6, 2026 at 6:58 AM