5-day repeat NO bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A 5-day-old repeat large bettor is adding a $1.3K NO position in a quiet geopolitical market, with $6.0K total flagged activity but no resolved track record yet.
Total
$1,333
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
-$13,582
Analysis
- A brand-new wallet has now made 3 flagged large bets totaling $6.0K.
- This $1.3K NO buy is larger than the market’s $1.0K daily volume.
- Entry at 87¢ shows a high-conviction bet that no Israel–Turkey military clash happens before 2027.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected June 8, 2026 at 4:55 AM