Profitable cross-market bettor
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A modestly profitable, high-volume wallet is adding a $5k No position as part of a much larger $120k cross-market thesis on the same event.
Total
$5,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
52%
Wallet P&L
+$72,375
Analysis
- This bettor is up $72k lifetime across more than 1,000 resolved trades.
- The $5k No buy is part of a larger $120k position across related markets.
- The trade was over half of recent daily volume, showing conviction in a relatively quiet market.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected June 9, 2026 at 7:40 PM