Profitable bettor fading IPO odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
A modestly profitable 78% win-rate wallet is taking the contrarian No side on Anthropic IPO before 2027, with a better current No price than their implied entry.
Total
$1,068
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$644
Analysis
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $1k lifetime.
- They effectively bought No at 18¢ by selling Yes; No is now around 12¢, cheaper than their entry.
- This is a contrarian bet against an 88% Yes market in a relatively quiet 24h trading window.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 18¢
Detected June 10, 2026 at 1:25 PM