Quiet-market Spain fade
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A positive-history wallet placed a $4.0k No bet in an extremely quiet long-range World Cup market, dwarfing recent volume.
Total
$4,031
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$4,883
Analysis
- A $4.0k bet was about 60x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a very quiet market.
- The bettor has a long history with 104 resolved trades, winning 69% and up about $4.9k lifetime.
- Entry at 80¢ implies they see Spain avoiding Round-of-32 elimination as underpriced.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 80¢
Detected June 11, 2026 at 3:42 AM